The 2014 VMA’s are airing tonight Sunday, August 24.  (The nominees can be found here.)  Predicting the winners is a crapshoot.  Here’s who should win:

Video of the Year: Sia – “Chandelier”

Best Male Video: Pharrell Williams – “Happy”

Best Female Video: Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX – “Fancy”

Artist to Watch: Sam Smith – “Stay With Me”

Best Pop Video: Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX – “Fancy”

Best Rock Video: The Black Keys – “Fever”

Best Hip-Hop Video: Kanye West – “Black Skinhead”

MTV Clubland Award: DJ Snake and Lil’ Jon – “Turn Down For What”

Best Collaboration: Katy Perry ft. Juicy J – “Dark Horse”

Best Direction: OK Go – “The Writing’s on the Wall” (Directors: Damian Kulash, Aaron Duffy, and Bob Partington)

Best Choreography: Sia – “Chandelier” (Choreographer: Ryan Heffington)

Best Visual Effects: OK Go – “The Writing’s on the Wall” (Visual Effects: 1stAveMachine)

Best Art Direction: Arcade Fire – “Reflektor” (Art Director: Anastasia Masaro)

Best Editing: No opinion

Best Cinematography: Lana Del Rey – “West Coast” (Director of Photography: Evan Prosofsky)

Best Video with a Social Message: This category is very silly.

Best Lyric Video: I don’t watch lyric videos that often.

And check out this list I wrote for Starpulse of 10 classic music videos that did not win Video of the Year: